Background:
The separation in 1947 of British India into the Muslim state
of Pakistan (with two sections West and East) and largely
Hindu India was never satisfactorily resolved, and India and
Pakistan have fought two wars - in 1947-48 and 1965 - over
the disputed Kashmir territory. A third war between these
countries in 1971 - in which India capitalized on Islamabad's
marginalization of Bengalis in Pakistani politics - resulted
in East Pakistan becoming the separate nation of Bangladesh.
In response to Indian nuclear weapons testing, Pakistan conducted
its own tests in 1998. The dispute over the state of Kashmir
is ongoing, but recent discussions and confidence-building
measures may be a start toward lessened tensions.
Economy
- overview:
Pakistan, an impoverished and underdeveloped country, has
suffered from decades of internal political disputes, low
levels of foreign investment, and a costly, ongoing confrontation
with neighboring India. However, IMF-approved government policies,
bolstered by generous foreign assistance and renewed access
to global markets since late 2001, have generated solid macroeconomic
recovery the last two years. The government has made substantial
inroads in macroeconomic reform since 2000, although progress
on more politically sensitive reforms has slowed. For example,
in the third and final year of its $1.3 billion IMF Poverty
Reduction and Growth Facility, Islamabad has continued to
require waivers for energy sector reforms. While long-term
prospects remain uncertain, given Pakistan's low level of
development, medium-term prospects for job creation and poverty
reduction are the best in nearly a decade. Islamabad has raised
development spending from about 2% of GDP in the 1990s to
4% in 2003, a necessary step towards reversing the broad underdevelopment
of its social sector. GDP growth is heavily dependent on rain-fed
crops, and last year's end to a four-year drought should support
moderate agricultural growth for the next few years. Foreign
exchange reserves continued to reach new levels in 2003, supported
by robust export growth and steady worker remittances.
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